Graph of the Week – What is behind the equity market sell-off?

The equity market sell-off over the last two weeks has been characterised as the (temporary) demise of the US ‘Magnificent-7’ stocks, which had done unusually well over the last year. A Mag-7 portfolio had gained over 40% in the year to date before the peak on 10 July, thanks to investor enthusiasm over the transformative potential of artificial intelligence.  

However, the plunge is more widely spread. While the tech-heavy NASDAQ fell by 5% from July 10 to July 24, it is not the only index that has suffered. Japanese equities, as well as emerging market stocks (excluding China), have fallen by a similar amount.

The declines, therefore, appear to be more a case of broad profit-taking of the most successful trades this year, of which technology was certainly one, rather than a specific swing in investor sentiment towards AI-linked companies.

We believe the medium-term outlook for growth stocks is still positive, and we remain overweight the NASDAQ index in our multi-asset portfolios.

Important information

Please note that articles may contain technical language. For this reason, they may not be suitable for readers without professional investment experience. Any views expressed here are those of the author as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. Individual portfolio management teams may hold different views and may take different investment decisions for different clients. This document does not constitute investment advice. The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns. Investing in emerging markets, or specialised or restricted sectors is likely to be subject to a higher-than-average volatility due to a high degree of concentration, greater uncertainty because less information is available, there is less liquidity or due to greater sensitivity to changes in market conditions (social, political and economic conditions). Some emerging markets offer less security than the majority of international developed markets. For this reason, services for portfolio transactions, liquidation and conservation on behalf of funds invested in emerging markets may carry greater risk.

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