The Covid-19 pandemic has infected over 3 million people and led to more than 200,000 deaths worldwide (Worldometers as of 29th April 2020). It has also created huge economic uncertainty and volatility.
The outbreak, which began in China in late 2019, was a major shock for financial markets. Many countries have been forced to employ severe social-distancing measures, with profound economic consequences. It’s difficult to know exactly how extensive and how long-lasting the economic impact will be, particularly in a scenario of lengthy lockdowns.
The outlook may be unsettled, but this does not mean one should do nothing. Investors do not have the luxury of waiting for complete clarity on the final impact of the virus. Much will depend on whether and when the market fully embraces Covid-19’s near-term social and economic consequences.
We have identified six signposts for assessing the direction of the global economy and prices. These will inform our decisions as we navigate the Covid-19 crisis.
