2020 US election preview: All or nothing?

As the closing phases of the 2020 US Presidential election campaign approach, this new paper from BNP Paribas Asset Management examines Joe Biden’s and Donald Trump’s prospects of favourable White House – and Congress – outcomes. It is one thing to win the presidency, without the support of both the Senate and House of Representatives, the ability to deliver on a mandate will be severely hampered.

Our new white paper US 2020 Election preview: All or nothing examines the two candidate’s programmes as well as the results they will need to achieve on 3 November in order to be able to enact them. Finally, the paper looks at possible consequences for the US economy and investors.

For a comprehensive analysis of our outlook on the race for the US presidency, read US 2020 Election preview: All or nothing

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Important information

Please note that articles may contain technical language. For this reason, they may not be suitable for readers without professional investment experience. Any views expressed here are those of the author as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. Individual portfolio management teams may hold different views and may take different investment decisions for different clients. This document does not constitute investment advice. The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns. Investing in emerging markets, or specialised or restricted sectors is likely to be subject to a higher-than-average volatility due to a high degree of concentration, greater uncertainty because less information is available, there is less liquidity or due to greater sensitivity to changes in market conditions (social, political and economic conditions). Some emerging markets offer less security than the majority of international developed markets. For this reason, services for portfolio transactions, liquidation and conservation on behalf of funds invested in emerging markets may carry greater risk.

Some emerging markets offer less security than the majority of international developed markets. For this reason, services for portfolio transactions, liquidation and conservation on behalf of funds invested in emerging markets may carry greater risk.

Any views expressed here are those of the author as of the date of publication, based on available information, and subject to change without notice. This material does not constitute investment advice.

Investing in emerging markets, or specialised or restricted sectors is likely to be subject to a higher-than-average volatility due to a high degree of concentration, greater uncertainty because less information is available, there is less liquidity or due to greater sensitivity to changes in market conditions (social, political and economic conditions).

Investments are subject to market fluctuations and the risks inherent in investments in securities. The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial investment. There is no guarantee that the performance objective will be achieved.

Data Source - © 2026 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Morningstar stars rank from 1 to 5, with the top ranking being 5 stars.

Past performance or achievement is not indicative of current or future performance. Performance is calculated net of fees unless otherwise stated.

The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns.

Source: BNP Paribas Asset Management, as of 30/06/2022, unless otherwise stated.

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